英文Gary Black发布 2026/07/09 08:59· 入库 2026/7/10 00:00:37· Gary Black (@garyblack00)
美股小幅上涨，AI芯片股反弹，特斯拉面临盈利预期下调压力
原标题：U.S. stocks rose (SPX +0.2%, NDX +0.8%) as investors stayed calm despite renewed…
精华摘要
美国股市小幅上涨，标普500指数涨0.2%，纳斯达克100指数涨0.8%，投资者对美伊冲突升级保持冷静。布伦特原油价格下跌1.7%至77美元/桶，尽管霍尔木兹海峡交通基本停滞。AI芯片股强劲反弹，SK海力士美国IPO超额认购逾7倍，目标融资245亿美元。市场对停火持久性和AI交易可持续性仍存疑问。2026年标普500每股收益预期同比上涨25%至346美元。
特斯拉方面，分析师Gary Black表示保持谨慎，原因是盈利预期下降以及自动驾驶领域竞争加剧。这反映出特斯拉在电动车市场面临增长放缓、利润率压缩和自动驾驶技术商业化挑战。尽管AI芯片股表现强劲，但特斯拉作为电动车和自动驾驶公司，其估值更多依赖未来盈利预期，当前盈利下调可能压制股价。投资者需关注特斯拉即将发布的财报及FSD进展。
原文摘要
U.S. stocks rose (SPX +0.2%, NDX +0.8%) as investors stayed calm despite renewed U.S.-Iran attacks that tested the fragile ceasefire. Brent crude fell 1.7% to $77/bbl, even as Strait of Hormuz traffic essentially halted, AI chip stocks recovered strongly, while SK Hynix’s U.S. listing was over seven times oversubscribed, targeting $24.5B. Questions remain on ceasefire durability and AI trade sustainability. 2026 S&P EPS estimates have risen +25% YoY to $346. I remain cautious on $TSLA amid falling earnings estimates, rising autonomous competition.