英文Gary Black发布 2026/07/06 09:22· 入库 2026/7/7 00:00:30· Gary Black (@garyblack00)
美股周一盘前上涨，科技股反弹，特斯拉交付量超预期
原标题：U.S. stocks rose pre-market Monday (SPX +0.4%, NDX +1.0%) as tech stocks rebound…
精华摘要
美股周一盘前上涨，标普500指数涨0.4%，纳斯达克100指数涨1.0%，科技股在本周三星和SK海力士二季度财报前反弹。特斯拉盘前涨1.3%，此前周四下跌7.5%，但二季度交付量达48万辆，远超预期的40.6万辆，受伊朗冲突导致汽油价格上涨推动。布伦特原油跌1%至71美元/桶，霍尔木兹海峡流量恢复。标普2026年每股收益预期升至342美元（同比增23%），隐含市盈率21.9倍，盈利收益率4.6%，与10年期国债收益率持平。
该资讯对EV行业直接参考价值有限，主要反映宏观市场情绪。特斯拉交付数据虽超预期，但股价此前已大幅下跌，市场更关注AI交易可持续性。投资者需注意，特斯拉交付量受短期因素（汽油价格）提振，而非需求结构性改善。标普盈利预期上升暗示市场对整体经济乐观，但高估值（21.9倍市盈率）可能限制特斯拉等成长股上行空间。建议关注后续三星和SK海力士财报对AI板块的指引。
原文摘要
U.S. stocks rose pre-market Monday (SPX +0.4%, NDX +1.0%) as tech stocks rebounded ahead of this week’s Samsung and SK Hynix 2Q earnings, which will test the continuing viability of the AI trade. $TSLA recovered +1.3% pre-mkt after falling -7.5% Thursday and crushing Q2 deliveries (480K vs 406K est) amid surging 2Q gas prices as a result of the Iran conflict. Brent crude fell 1% to $71/bbl as Hormuz flows recovered. S&P 2026 EPS estimates have risen to $342 (+23% YoY), implying a 21.9x P/E and a 4.6% earnings yield, in line with 10-year treasury yields. I remain cautious on TSLA given likely