英文Gary Black发布 2026/07/08 09:38· 入库 2026/7/9 00:00:39· Gary Black (@garyblack00)
美股下跌，布伦特原油涨6%，特斯拉因盈利预期下降和自动驾驶竞争加剧承压
原标题：US stocks fell (SPX -0.8%, NDX -1.1%) after US struck over 80 Iranian targets an…
精华摘要
美国对伊朗80多个目标发动打击，特朗普宣布6月停火协议失效，伊朗袭击霍尔木兹海峡商船。美股下跌（标普500跌0.8%，纳斯达克100跌1.1%），布伦特原油涨6%至78美元/桶。尽管AI投资和能源推动标普2026年每股收益预期同比增25%，但韩国存储芯片制造商三星和SK海力士股价较6月高点跌超30%，AI交易在二季度财报季前显得脆弱。
特斯拉因长期盈利预期下降、自动驾驶竞争加剧以及市场整体风险偏好降低而承压。地缘政治紧张推高油价，可能影响消费者购车成本，但短期内对EV需求影响有限。特斯拉需关注FSD进展和交付数据，以应对盈利压力。
原文摘要
US stocks fell (SPX -0.8%, NDX -1.1%) after US struck over 80 Iranian targets and President Trump declared the June ceasefire “over” following Iran’s attacks on merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude rose 6% to $78/bbl. Despite rising S&P 2026 EPS estimates (+25% YoY) from AI investment and energy, the AI trade looks vulnerable entering 2Q earnings season with stock declines from Korean memory chip makers Samsung and SK Hynix now exceeding -30% from their June peaks. I remain cautious on $TSLA due to falling long-term earnings estimates, increasing autonomous competition, and a st