英文Gary Black发布 2026/05/15 09:51· 入库 2026/5/15 22:23:07· Gary Black (@garyblack00)
通胀飙升引发债券抛售，美股期货下跌，特斯拉前景谨慎
原标题：Stocks fell sharply (SPX -1.1%, NDX -1.6%) pre-market as surging global inflatio…
精华摘要
全球通胀飙升引发债券抛售，美股期货大幅下跌，标普500指数期货跌1.1%，纳斯达克100指数期货跌1.6%，AI驱动的涨势暂停。布伦特原油价格跳涨3.3%至109美元/桶，推动10年期美国国债收益率自2024年初以来首次超过标普远期盈利收益率，上一次出现这种情况是在2000年互联网泡沫时期。
尽管油价短期上涨，但分析师预计伊朗冲突结束后标普500将创新高，2026年每股收益预期为337美元（同比增长21%）。对特斯拉持谨慎态度，原因是长期盈利预期下降，以及无人驾驶领域竞争日益激烈。该分析对EV行业投资者有间接参考意义，但并非直接针对电动车企。
原文摘要
Stocks fell sharply (SPX -1.1%, NDX -1.6%) pre-market as surging global inflation triggered a bond selloff, halting the AI-driven rally. Brent crude jumped +3.3% to $109/bbl, pushing 10-year U.S. treasury yields above the forward S&P earnings yield for the first time since early 2024 and before that the 2000 https://t.co/ddLXY7XL43 bubble. Despite rising near-term oil prices, I expect new S&P 500 highs once the Iran conflict ends, with 2026 S&P 500 EPS at $337 (+21% YoY). I remain cautious on $TSLA due to falling long-term earnings estimates, an increasingly crowded unsupervised autonomy field